"It’s training to be an entrepreneur, and an employer—not an employee."

Q: Governments and central banks have inflated asset prices for decades—making housing, education, and healthcare unaffordable for many.

Is the 'system' designed to turn Millennials and Gen Z into lifelong renters and debt-serfs? Is there a way out?

Doug Casey: It’s a natural consequence of Statism.

First of all, taxes are high and have been increasing for decades. After taxes, you have less money left over to save. And if you do try to save, inflation eats away at the dollars that you put in banks or investments. Worse than that, welfare and government benefits make saving feel unnecessary for many people. They feel they don’t need as much because the cradle-to-grave welfare state will cover them. There’s a reason why Klaus Schwab famously said, 'You’ll own nothing and be happy.'

A lot of people believe it. This feeling is abetted by schooling, where everyone is inculcated with this collectivist meme. On top of that, the rich are viewed as parasites. And who wants to be a parasite?

This is all caused by State intervention in the economy. Schools almost always teach students that the State is their friend. It’s not; it’s their enemy. ....

Q: We’re seeing a collision between AI/automation and a credential-heavy job market. Which parts of today’s white-collar economy do you think are most fragile?

Doug Casey: .... The bright side is that while AI and robotics will destroy huge numbers of jobs—starting now—they’ll also level the playing field. A person of less than average intelligence can have AI do things for him that he might otherwise be unable to do. A further benefit is that the world doesn’t need paper pushers and cubicle dwellers who are sitting around doing marginally productive labor. Very much like the world no longer needed people working like drones in textile mills 200 years ago, at the start of the Industrial Revolution.

While AI is going to create some major problems in the short run, it’s going to be a very good thing after those bumps in the road. Just like the Industrial Revolution itself created problems while vastly improving the world. ....

Q: What should a 25-year-old do to build real, durable earning power in the next 5–10 years?

Doug Casey: Ayn Rand answered that question in a speech I heard 40 years ago. When asked, she said: 'The best way to help the poor is not to be one of them.'

I confronted this problem with my friend Matt Smith when we wrote 'The Preparation.' The book explains why young people should avoid college. In fact, it urges them to treat college like the poison that it now is, showing how college has become a serious detriment in almost every way. More importantly, we describe what young men should do instead during the four years between 18 and 22, a time which is critically important, but generally wasted.

We demonstrate—exactly—how a young man can qualify himself with the equivalent of a BA, a BS, and elements of an MBA. That’s in addition to learning practical things in a hands-on way. We divide the four years into 16 quarters. The student will learn everything from flying a plane to sailing a boat around Cape Horn to operating heavy equipment. He’ll qualify in welding and metalwork in Canada. Cooking at a professional level in Italy. He’ll be farming in one quarter and building a house in the next. He’ll learn martial arts skills in Thailand, as well as shooting and scuba. You get the idea. It’s a productive and busy four years.

The critical thing, since we don’t know how the world is going to evolve because of AI, is to become a Renaissance man, enabling students to do anything and go anywhere. To avoid trying to climb a greasy corporate ladder, but build a web where you can reach out in any direction. That’s necessary in the world of AI. It’s training to be an entrepreneur, and an employer—not an employee."

~ from an interview with investor 'Doug Casey on Why Millennials and Gen Z are Trapped by Debt, Inflation, and Broken Promises

THOUGHT FOR THE DAY: "99% of boomer 'success' was just interest rates falling for 50 years"

 

"Ninety-nine percent of boomer 'success' was just interest rates falling for [forty] years because they destroyed the real economy."

~ Darth Powell

PS: In case you're confused ...

PPS: In case you're still confused:

"How can stock market valuations be at or near historical highs while the average [person] is about as pessimistic as they’ve ever been?

"This contradiction is a perfect illustration of the financial fun house — and the extreme distortions that relentless money printing has pumped into the system.

"If fiat currency is a dishonest measuring stick — and it is — then how do we accurately measure the stock market?

"The best option is to measure value in gold, honest money that no politician can arbitrarily debase.

"If measuring in fiat is like looking into a fun-house mirror, then gold is a mirror of truth. And when we measure the stock market in gold, that truth becomes clear. Below is a chart of the S&P 500 measured in gold going back to 1950.

"Viewed through the lens of gold, the stock market tells a very different story than it does in fiat terms — and this chart makes that unmistakably clear.

"The most striking feature of the chart is what isn’t there: a sustained upward trend. The S&P 500 today is worth the same amount of gold it was in 1995.

"Despite decades of nominal gains, the stock market has repeatedly given back those gains when measured against gold. In other words, the rising stock market was more a reflection of currency debasement than of real wealth creation.

"This helps explain the disconnection at the heart of today’s market. In fiat terms, stock prices appear to be at record highs. But in gold terms — a unit that cannot be printed — the market looks far less extraordinary."

~ Nick Giambruno from his post 'The Melt-Up Trap: Why Stocks Must Rise Until the Dollar Breaks' 

To remain independent from politics, a central bank must be less political

"Independence isn’t an absolute virtue. Our constitutional order doesn’t include completely independent officials who can print money and regulate banks as they wish. ...

"The [central bank] has vastly expanded its scope of operations, propping up asset prices, monetising debt, channeling credit, directing banks how to invest, straying into climate and inequality, and denying whole business models such as narrow banks and segregated accounts. These actions are political and cross over into fiscal policy and credit allocation. It has had no reckoning with its great institutional failures, including [high] inflation and repeated bailouts.

"It is reasonable to discuss reform. Either the [central bank] must be more 'democratically accountable,' which is the same thing as 'politically influenced' when the other party is in power, or it must be reformed to a narrow, enforced and accountable mandate so it can remain independent."

~ John Cochrane from his WSJ op-ed 'Trump and monetary policy'

So maybe, just maybe, we shouldn't give central bankers the keys to the whole monetary system.

"To repeat one of my consistent lines, human beings are fallible, they make mistakes. Central banks – here and abroad – are made up of humans, so they make mistakes. Really serious ones, of the sort seen in the last few years, shouldn’t happen but they do. One might even offer perspectives in mitigation: the pandemic was something quite extraordinary, and many people (here and abroad) misread the macroeconomics of it for too long. But those responsible need to take responsibility for the mistakes that were made."

~ Michael Reddell from his post 'Still avoiding responsibility'

Don't worry, the central banks will control inflation.

 

[Hat tip Rudy Havenstein]